Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.045880 0.049952 0.054080 0.058571 0.063313 0.068162 0.073491
2024-10-06 0.040070 0.046128 0.052497 0.059664 0.067476 0.075709 0.085012
2024-10-13 0.035416 0.042918 0.051069 0.060516 0.071102 0.082535 0.095756
2024-10-20 0.030666 0.039077 0.048507 0.059747 0.072660 0.086919 0.103742
2024-10-27 0.027710 0.036949 0.047603 0.060611 0.075878 0.093049 0.113643
2024-11-03 0.024532 0.034241 0.045755 0.060145 0.077379 0.097099 0.121110
2024-11-10 0.022204 0.032341 0.044675 0.060419 0.079614 0.101909 0.129409
2024-11-17 0.020460 0.031004 0.044142 0.061232 0.082401 0.107311 0.138382
2024-11-24 0.019894 0.031121 0.045373 0.064188 0.087779 0.115817 0.151084
2024-12-01 0.017362 0.028423 0.042841 0.062270 0.087039 0.116874 0.154829
2024-12-08 0.015648 0.026700 0.041453 0.061696 0.087878 0.119779 0.160751
2024-12-15 0.014194 0.025225 0.040293 0.061328 0.088904 0.122865 0.166867
2024-12-22 0.013693 0.025123 0.041019 0.063501 0.093279 0.130243 0.178450
2024-12-29 0.012874 0.024489 0.040969 0.064618 0.096293 0.135952 0.188037
2025-01-05 0.012048 0.023780 0.040767 0.065498 0.098986 0.141270 0.197181
2025-01-12 0.010792 0.022299 0.039376 0.064674 0.099379 0.143635 0.202619
2025-01-19 0.010133 0.021719 0.039253 0.065580 0.102061 0.148934 0.211780
2025-01-26 0.009162 0.020541 0.038176 0.065084 0.102813 0.151717 0.217744
2025-02-02 0.008472 0.019779 0.037676 0.065372 0.104602 0.155838 0.225425
2025-02-09 0.007974 0.019309 0.037589 0.066229 0.107158 0.160959 0.234402
2025-02-16 0.008021 0.019816 0.039035 0.069348 0.112872 0.170286 0.248870
2025-02-23 0.006956 0.018196 0.037044 0.067324 0.111372 0.170027 0.250899
2025-03-02 0.006275 0.017227 0.036038 0.066718 0.111818 0.172329 0.256246